Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Fran Navarro removeKarol Świderski remove
Age2829
PositionStrikerStriker
Club · leagueSC Braga · Liga PortugalPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1
League strength0.580.42
Team strength (Elo)15331465
League minutes1275 (42%)1075 (46%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.490.42
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.330.32
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile5750
Market value€4.0M€4.5M
Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.4M€1.7M – €5.3M
Model value€1.5M – €6.9M€919k – €3.0M
Projected value (24m)€1.3M – €3.8M€1.1M – €3.4M
Bargain Index26/10012/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €6.9M
Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €5.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€919k – €3.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Fran Navarro and Karol Świderski

  • Navarro plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.42); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
  • On value for money the model prefers Navarro (Bargain Index 26 vs 12) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.