
Karol Świderski
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Karol Świderski's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.62x the positional average in the league (1075 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 12
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.8M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1075 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.42
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.32
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1203
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -59% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1075 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 21 | 1075 | 46% | 5 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 1203 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | ST | 5 | 273 | 12% | 1 | 2 | 0.99 | 0.37 | 1161 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | ST | 15 | 496 | 15% | 2 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.73 | 1519 | 1381 | 0.98 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | ST | 25 | 1267 | 54% | 9 | 7 | 1.14 | 0.61 | 1237 | 1428 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | ST | 24 | 1533 | 66% | 10 | 1 | 0.65 | 0.39 | 1300 | 1512 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | ST | 11 | 369 | 14% | 4 | 2 | 1.46 | 0.45 | 1212 | 1552 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 11 | 490 | 4 | 1 | 1449 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 1379 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 170 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1460 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 329 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 1494 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 193 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1750 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 231 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1437 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Krmencik Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €4.0M | €900k | fell |
| Kady Borges Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Georges-Kevin N'Koudou Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €3.3M | €3.3M | flat |
| Felipe Pardo Super League 1 · 2018 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Brandon Thomas Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Tarik Elyounoussi Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.4M | flat |
| Chuba Akpom Super League 1 · 2022 | 27 | €3.2M | €12.0M | rose |
| Antonio Colak Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 30 | €5.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | Charlotte | Panathinaikos | €1.9M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Hellas Verona | Charlotte | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Charlotte | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 26 Jan 2022 | PAOK | Charlotte | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| 20 Jan 2019 | Jagiellonia | PAOK | €2.5M | €750k |
| 18 Jul 2014 | SMS Lodz | Jagiellonia | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | UKS SMS U19 | SMS Lodz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.