Karol Świderski

29 yrs · Striker · Poland
Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1 · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€4.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.7M – €5.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€919k – €3.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.1M – €3.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.3M – €1.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €5.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€919k – €3.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Karol Świderski's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.62x the positional average in the league (1075 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 12

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage50.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.8M vs market €4.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-57% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1075 (46% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.42
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
50 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1465
Opponent strength
1203
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.1M – €3.4M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -59% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1075 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1ST21107546%500.420.31120314650.43
2024/25Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1ST527312%120.990.37116114020.35
2023/24Hellas VeronaSerie AST1549615%200.360.73151913810.98
2020/21Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1ST25126754%971.140.61123714280.39
2019/20Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1ST24153366%1010.650.39130015120.46
2018/19Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1ST1136914%421.460.45121215520.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeaguePanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos11490411449
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos4262001379
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos417002—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos228001460
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos11600—
2020/21Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton532900—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton6214001494
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton340001524
2019/20Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton419320—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton269101391
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton127001750
2018/19Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton423120—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingJagiellonia Bialystok334001437

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Michael Krmencik
Super League 1 · 2021
28€4.0M€900kfell
Kady Borges
Premier Liga · 2024
28€2.5M€2.5Mflat
Georges-Kevin N'Koudou
Super Lig · 2023
28€3.3M€3.3Mflat
Felipe Pardo
Super League 1 · 2018
28€4.0M€2.0Mfell
Brandon Thomas
Super League 1 · 2024
29€1.8M€1.0Mfell
Tarik Elyounoussi
Super League 1 · 2017
29€1.5M€1.4Mflat
Chuba Akpom
Super League 1 · 2022
27€3.2M€12.0Mrose
Antonio Colak
Scottish Premiership · 2023
30€5.0M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jan 2025CharlottePanathinaikos€1.9M€5.0M
30 Jun 2024Hellas VeronaCharlotteFree / loan€5.0M
1 Feb 2024CharlotteHellas VeronaFree / loan€6.0M
26 Jan 2022PAOKCharlotte€4.5M€6.0M
20 Jan 2019JagielloniaPAOK€2.5M€750k
18 Jul 2014SMS LodzJagielloniaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013UKS SMS U19SMS LodzUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.