Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Oleksiy Gutsulyak remove | Lawrence Shankland remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Position | Right winger | Striker |
| Club · league | FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga | Heart of Midlothian FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1290 | 1332 |
| League minutes | 1759 (65%) | 2050 (69%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 44 | 38 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €3.7M | €1.0M – €3.2M |
| Model value | €1.6M – €2.5M | €810k – €1.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €3.2M | €760k – €2.0M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 5/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €2.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.2M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.2M Model value (performance-implied)€810k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€760k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Oleksiy Gutsulyak and Lawrence Shankland
- Gutsulyak is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Gutsulyak (Bargain Index 50 vs 5) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.