Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Dodi Lukébakio remove | Fran Navarro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Position | Right winger | Striker |
| Club · league | SL Benfica · Liga Portugal | SC Braga · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1588 | 1533 |
| League minutes | 925 (27%) | 1275 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 71 | 57 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €8.7M – €15.4M | €1.9M – €4.4M |
| Model value | €5.5M – €9.9M | €1.5M – €6.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.7M – €10.3M | €1.3M – €3.8M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 26/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€8.7M – €15.4M Model value (performance-implied)€5.5M – €9.9M Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €10.3M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €6.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.8M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Dodi Lukébakio and Fran Navarro
- Navarro is estimated to cost far less (€2.9M vs €11.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Navarro (Bargain Index 26 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Lukébakio High, Navarro Moderate.