Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kai Havertz remove | Nicolas Jackson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Arsenal FC · Premier League | Bayern Munich · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1876 | 1871 |
| League minutes | 583 (17%) | 1004 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 96 |
| Market value | €55.0M | €40.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €38.7M – €83.9M | €30.2M – €57.6M |
| Model value | €35.0M – €51.8M | €29.9M – €65.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €20.7M – €49.5M | €21.2M – €60.3M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 36/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€38.7M – €83.9M Model value (performance-implied)€35.0M – €51.8M Projected value (24 months)€20.7M – €49.5M Dashed line: current market value (€55.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€30.2M – €57.6M Model value (performance-implied)€29.9M – €65.2M Projected value (24 months)€21.2M – €60.3M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kai Havertz and Nicolas Jackson
- Jackson is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Havertz plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.94); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Jackson was used far more by the club (33% of minutes vs 17%).
- Risk differs: Havertz High, Jackson Moderate.