Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Vito van Crooij remove | Chris Cadden remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 29 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Right midfielder |
| Club · league | Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie | Hibernian FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1250 | 1281 |
| League minutes | 999 (33%) | 1149 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 30 | 31 |
| Market value | €900k | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €194k – €646k | €123k – €393k |
| Model value | €432k – €883k | €534k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €372k – €754k | €178k – €452k |
| Bargain Index | 64/100 | 85/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€194k – €646k Model value (performance-implied)€432k – €883k Projected value (24 months)€372k – €754k Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€123k – €393k Model value (performance-implied)€534k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€178k – €452k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Vito van Crooij and Chris Cadden
- Crooij has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.26 vs 0.16 per 90).
- Cadden is estimated to cost far less (€164k vs €259k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Cadden (Bargain Index 85 vs 64) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Crooij Very High, Cadden High.