Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lukas Nmecha remove | Adam Armstrong remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Leeds United · Premier League | Wolverhampton Wanderers · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1521 | 1425 |
| League minutes | 1073 (31%) | 1147 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.59 | 0.31 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.79 | 0.55 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 79 | 71 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.8M – €12.3M | €2.6M – €9.1M |
| Model value | €6.1M – €16.1M | €4.0M – €7.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.7M – €11.1M | €1.7M – €4.5M |
| Bargain Index | 70/100 | 1/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.8M – €12.3M Model value (performance-implied)€6.1M – €16.1M Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €11.1M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.6M – €9.1M Model value (performance-implied)€4.0M – €7.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €4.5M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lukas Nmecha and Adam Armstrong
- Nmecha has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.79 vs 0.55 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Nmecha (Bargain Index 70 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.