Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Vangelis Pavlidis remove | Luka Jović remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | SL Benfica · Liga Portugal | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1634 | 1512 |
| League minutes | 2669 (87%) | 1866 (80%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 88 | 76 |
| Market value | €28.0M | €9.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.9M – €32.7M | €3.5M – €9.4M |
| Model value | €11.1M – €31.7M | €4.0M – €17.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €12.4M – €28.3M | €3.5M – €9.0M |
| Bargain Index | 8/100 | 84/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.9M – €32.7M Model value (performance-implied)€11.1M – €31.7M Projected value (24 months)€12.4M – €28.3M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €9.4M Model value (performance-implied)€4.0M – €17.3M Projected value (24 months)€3.5M – €9.0M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Vangelis Pavlidis and Luka Jović
- Pavlidis plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.42); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Jović is estimated to cost far less (€4.7M vs €23.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jović (Bargain Index 84 vs 8) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Pavlidis Low, Jović Moderate.