Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pepelu remove | Nikola Moro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Valencia CF · Laliga | Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1497 | 1523 |
| League minutes | 2234 (65%) | 1798 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 77 | 75 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.8M – €8.8M | €2.5M – €6.3M |
| Model value | €5.3M – €15.0M | €3.9M – €14.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.3M – €8.0M | €2.5M – €6.7M |
| Bargain Index | 38/100 | 74/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.8M – €8.8M Model value (performance-implied)€5.3M – €15.0M Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €8.0M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €6.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.9M – €14.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €6.7M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pepelu and Nikola Moro
- Moro is estimated to cost far less (€3.4M vs €6.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Moro (Bargain Index 74 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Pepelu Low, Moro Moderate.