Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gorka Guruzeta remove | Ché Adams remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Athletic Bilbao · Laliga | Torino FC · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1451 | 1419 |
| League minutes | 2370 (69%) | 1897 (56%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 81 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.4M – €6.0M | €1.7M – €5.2M |
| Model value | €6.2M – €10.5M | €7.7M – €16.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.6M – €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.4M |
| Bargain Index | 9/100 | 32/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.4M – €6.0M Model value (performance-implied)€6.2M – €10.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €4.0M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €5.2M Model value (performance-implied)€7.7M – €16.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gorka Guruzeta and Ché Adams
- Adams is estimated to cost far less (€2.3M vs €3.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Adams (Bargain Index 32 vs 9) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Guruzeta Low, Adams Moderate.