Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Joe Willock remove | Ryan Christie remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Newcastle United · Premier League | AFC Bournemouth · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1631 | 1643 |
| League minutes | 980 (29%) | 986 (29%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 89 | 92 |
| Market value | €14.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.9M – €12.4M | €2.8M – €7.9M |
| Model value | €16.1M – €25.6M | €7.3M – €23.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.3M – €15.1M | €2.1M – €4.6M |
| Bargain Index | 85/100 | 11/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.9M – €12.4M Model value (performance-implied)€16.1M – €25.6M Projected value (24 months)€5.3M – €15.1M Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.8M – €7.9M Model value (performance-implied)€7.3M – €23.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €4.6M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Joe Willock and Ryan Christie
- Willock is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Christie is estimated to cost far less (€4.3M vs €6.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Willock (Bargain Index 85 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Willock Moderate, Christie High.