Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Oliver Burke remove | Rafa Mir remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | 1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga | Elche CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1392 | 1389 |
| League minutes | 1674 (55%) | 1810 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 68 | 56 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €3.7M | €1.5M – €4.0M |
| Model value | €3.8M – €9.7M | €2.2M – €7.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €969k – €2.8M | €1.2M – €4.1M |
| Bargain Index | 19/100 | 62/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€3.8M – €9.7M Projected value (24 months)€969k – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.0M Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €7.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €4.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Oliver Burke and Rafa Mir
- On value for money the model prefers Mir (Bargain Index 62 vs 19) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Burke Low, Mir Moderate.