Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Atanas Chernev remove | Kaly remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 22 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1195 | 1225 |
| League minutes | 1018 (33%) | 992 (32%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 6 | 4 |
| Market value | €700k | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €343k – €931k | €191k – €504k |
| Model value | €255k – €590k | €195k – €600k |
| Projected value (24m) | €435k – €1.2M | €291k – €699k |
| Bargain Index | 77/100 | 96/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 20% |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€343k – €931k Model value (performance-implied)€255k – €590k Projected value (24 months)€435k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€191k – €504k Model value (performance-implied)€195k – €600k Projected value (24 months)€291k – €699k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Atanas Chernev and Kaly
- Kaly is estimated to cost far less (€255k vs €568k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Kaly (Bargain Index 96 vs 77) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.