Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lincoln remove | Mitchell van Bergen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | FC Alverca · Liga Portugal | Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1277 | 1218 |
| League minutes | 2376 (78%) | 2401 (79%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 32 | 39 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.2M – €4.0M | €504k – €1.3M |
| Model value | €830k – €2.3M | €803k – €1.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.7M – €3.3M | €657k – €1.9M |
| Bargain Index | 64/100 | 80/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €4.0M Model value (performance-implied)€830k – €2.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€504k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€803k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€657k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lincoln and Mitchell van Bergen
- Bergen is estimated to cost far less (€857k vs €2.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Bergen (Bargain Index 80 vs 64) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.