Mitchell van Bergen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mitchell van Bergen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.80x the positional average in the league (2401 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €857k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2401 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.32
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1218
- Opponent strength
- 1283
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €657k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 15 pts; team strength down (-127 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +2% (IQR -24% to +50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 29 | 2339 | 76% | 3 | 5 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1283 | 1213 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RW | 1 | 62 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1265 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 14 | 1133 | 37% | 3 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 1314 | 1300 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RW | 15 | 799 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1308 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RW | 21 | 503 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 1315 | 1466 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | LW | 28 | 887 | 26% | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 1452 | 1425 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | LW | 20 | 984 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1430 | 1417 | 0.86 |
| 2021/22 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1117 | 1287 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RM | 32 | 2727 | 89% | 4 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1357 | 1271 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 25 | 2238 | 96% | 5 | 4 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 1373 | 1317 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 30 | 1967 | 64% | 7 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 1360 | 1296 | 0.61 |
| 2018/19 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 3 | 40 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 1431 | 1413 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 10 | 386 | 13% | 0 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.32 | 1274 | 1364 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 17 | 465 | 15% | 0 | 3 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 1299 | 1358 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 1 | 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 1268 | 1370 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 156 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Twente Enschede | 7 | 317 | 0 | 0 | 1537 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 1622 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 349 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 213 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 51 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ömer Ali Şahiner Super Lig · 2020 | 28 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| João Figueiredo Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €2.8M | €2.0M | fell |
| Iñigo Córdoba Eredivisie · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Serginho Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Søren Rieks Eredivisie · 2013 | 26 | €1.3M | €1.3M | flat |
| Braian Samudio Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €1.6M | €1.8M | flat |
| Emmanuel Sabbi Superliga · 2022 | 25 | €700k | €2.5M | rose |
| Dmitriy Vorobyov Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2025 | FC Twente | Sparta R. | €500k | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Sparta R. | FC Twente | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Jan 2025 | FC Twente | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Stade Reims | FC Twente | €1.0M | €1.2M |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Heerenveen | Stade Reims | €2.0M | €2.4M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | Vitesse | Heerenveen | €500k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Vitesse U17 | Vitesse | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Willem II Youth | Vitesse U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Margriet Youth | Willem II Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.