Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Léo Santos remove | Sven Karic remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | CD Nacional · Liga Portugal | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1231 | 1176 |
| League minutes | 2719 (89%) | 2562 (95%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 27 | 24 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €367k – €773k | €364k – €868k |
| Model value | €533k – €1.2M | €636k – €984k |
| Projected value (24m) | €566k – €1.2M | €510k – €1.3M |
| Bargain Index | 96/100 | 81/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€367k – €773k Model value (performance-implied)€533k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€566k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€364k – €868k Model value (performance-implied)€636k – €984k Projected value (24 months)€510k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Léo Santos and Sven Karic
- On value for money the model prefers Santos (Bargain Index 96 vs 81) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Santos Moderate, Karic High.