Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pablo Fornals remove | Adrien Thomasson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 32 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | RC Lens · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1549 | 1569 |
| League minutes | 2866 (84%) | 2691 (88%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 95 | 90 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.5M – €8.2M | €1.6M – €4.0M |
| Model value | €11.2M – €27.8M | €5.0M – €7.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.5M – €6.8M | €664k – €2.2M |
| Bargain Index | 37/100 | 12/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €8.2M Model value (performance-implied)€11.2M – €27.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €6.8M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.0M Model value (performance-implied)€5.0M – €7.6M Projected value (24 months)€664k – €2.2M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pablo Fornals and Adrien Thomasson
- Fornals is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Thomasson is estimated to cost far less (€2.3M vs €5.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Fornals (Bargain Index 37 vs 12) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Fornals Low, Thomasson High.