Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Raoul Bellanova remove | Patrick Osterhage remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Right midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Atalanta BC · Serie A | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1588 | 1551 |
| League minutes | 1373 (40%) | 1187 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 76 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €10.5M – €16.8M | €6.2M – €16.2M |
| Model value | €10.9M – €25.6M | €5.6M – €16.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.3M – €19.6M | €4.7M – €14.5M |
| Bargain Index | 34/100 | 15/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€10.5M – €16.8M Model value (performance-implied)€10.9M – €25.6M Projected value (24 months)€5.3M – €19.6M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €16.2M Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €16.9M Projected value (24 months)€4.7M – €14.5M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Raoul Bellanova and Patrick Osterhage
- On value for money the model prefers Bellanova (Bargain Index 34 vs 15) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.