Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Bernardo remove | Duje Caleta-Car remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 29 |
| Position | Left-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | Real Sociedad · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1508 | 1462 |
| League minutes | 2319 (76%) | 2150 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 78 | 87 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.0M – €3.1M | €964k – €2.5M |
| Model value | €1.6M – €6.3M | €6.3M – €9.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €967k – €2.5M | €881k – €2.4M |
| Bargain Index | 20/100 | 71/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€967k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€964k – €2.5M Model value (performance-implied)€6.3M – €9.0M Projected value (24 months)€881k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Bernardo and Duje Caleta-Car
- On value for money the model prefers Caleta-Car (Bargain Index 71 vs 20) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Bernardo Moderate, Caleta-Car Low.