Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ilia Gruev remove | Saša Lukić remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 29 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Leeds United · Premier League | Fulham FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1521 | 1576 |
| League minutes | 1324 (39%) | 1734 (51%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 80 | 94 |
| Market value | €12.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.5M – €11.8M | €3.5M – €8.9M |
| Model value | €4.9M – €16.8M | €11.4M – €28.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €6.6M – €17.4M | €3.0M – €6.9M |
| Bargain Index | 90/100 | 48/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.5M – €11.8M Model value (performance-implied)€4.9M – €16.8M Projected value (24 months)€6.6M – €17.4M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €8.9M Model value (performance-implied)€11.4M – €28.2M Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €6.9M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ilia Gruev and Saša Lukić
- Gruev is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Lukić is estimated to cost far less (€4.7M vs €7.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gruev (Bargain Index 90 vs 48) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.