Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nail Umyarov remove | Tom van de Looi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | FC Famalicão · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1443 | 1406 |
| League minutes | 2598 (96%) | 2753 (90%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 66 | 44 |
| Market value | €7.5M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.1M – €8.7M | €1.9M – €4.6M |
| Model value | €1.7M – €8.1M | €730k – €3.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.6M – €10.8M | €3.0M – €6.5M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.1M – €8.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €8.1M Projected value (24 months)€3.6M – €10.8M Dashed line: current market value (€7.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.6M Model value (performance-implied)€730k – €3.9M Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €6.5M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nail Umyarov and Tom van de Looi
- Looi is estimated to cost far less (€2.6M vs €7.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Looi (Bargain Index 91 vs 32) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Umyarov Moderate, Looi High.