Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kikas remove | Vyacheslav Grulev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1195 | 1176 |
| League minutes | 1212 (40%) | 917 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.52 | 0.29 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 20 | 13 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €348k – €982k | €228k – €600k |
| Model value | €515k – €1.3M | €447k – €575k |
| Projected value (24m) | €462k – €1000k | €360k – €976k |
| Bargain Index | 60/100 | 88/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€348k – €982k Model value (performance-implied)€515k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€462k – €1000k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€228k – €600k Model value (performance-implied)€447k – €575k Projected value (24 months)€360k – €976k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kikas and Vyacheslav Grulev
- Kikas has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.70 vs 0.61 per 90).
- Grulev is estimated to cost far less (€304k vs €679k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Grulev (Bargain Index 88 vs 60) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kikas High, Grulev Very High.