Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Riccardo Sottil remove | Mathias Honsak remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | US Lecce · Serie A | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1352 | 1323 |
| League minutes | 1072 (31%) | 1249 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 55 | 47 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €1.7M |
| Estimated acquisition | €952k – €2.5M | €447k – €1.3M |
| Model value | €2.2M – €6.8M | €1.0M – €3.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €3.6M | €666k – €1.5M |
| Bargain Index | 84/100 | 51/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€952k – €2.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €6.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.6M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€447k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€666k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€1.7M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Riccardo Sottil and Mathias Honsak
- Sottil is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Sottil has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.46 vs 0.37 per 90).
- Honsak is estimated to cost far less (€595k vs €1.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Sottil (Bargain Index 84 vs 51) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.