Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| César Montes remove | Siebe Van der Heyden remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва · Premier Liga | KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1418 | 1403 |
| League minutes | 2206 (82%) | 2145 (79%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 53 |
| Market value | €7.5M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.6M – €7.9M | €1.2M – €3.5M |
| Model value | €1.1M – €4.8M | €1.3M – €3.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.2M – €6.6M | €1.3M – €3.5M |
| Bargain Index | 11/100 | 52/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.6M – €7.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €4.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €6.6M Dashed line: current market value (€7.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €3.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.5M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates César Montes and Siebe Van der Heyden
- Heyden is estimated to cost far less (€2.2M vs €6.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Heyden (Bargain Index 52 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Montes Moderate, Heyden Low.