Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Auston Trusty remove | John Souttar remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership | Rangers FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1406 | 1427 |
| League minutes | 1729 (58%) | 1924 (65%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 66 | 67 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.0M – €6.5M | €532k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €2.5M – €7.3M | €1.4M – €4.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.2M – €5.4M | €620k – €1.7M |
| Bargain Index | 35/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €6.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.5M – €7.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €5.4M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€532k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €4.8M Projected value (24 months)€620k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Auston Trusty and John Souttar
- Souttar is estimated to cost far less (€710k vs €4.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Souttar (Bargain Index 68 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.