Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nicolò Casale remove | Chancel Mbemba remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 31 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A | LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1523 | 1547 |
| League minutes | 675 (20%) | 952 (31%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 64 | 74 |
| Market value | €3.8M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.7M – €4.1M | €633k – €2.4M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €6.9M | €1.1M – €4.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.7M | €535k – €1.4M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 10/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €6.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€3.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€633k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €4.8M Projected value (24 months)€535k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nicolò Casale and Chancel Mbemba
- Casale is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mbemba is estimated to cost far less (€1.5M vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Casale High, Mbemba Moderate.