Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Emile Smith Rowe remove | Eljif Elmas remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 26 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Fulham FC · Premier League | SSC Napoli · Serie A |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1576 | 1618 |
| League minutes | 1928 (56%) | 1783 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 92 | 80 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €13.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €9.6M – €22.6M | €6.1M – €14.1M |
| Model value | €19.6M – €34.9M | €7.4M – €21.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €8.5M – €24.8M | €4.2M – €14.0M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 24/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€9.6M – €22.6M Model value (performance-implied)€19.6M – €34.9M Projected value (24 months)€8.5M – €24.8M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.1M – €14.1M Model value (performance-implied)€7.4M – €21.1M Projected value (24 months)€4.2M – €14.0M Dashed line: current market value (€13.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Emile Smith Rowe and Eljif Elmas
- Rowe plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.93); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Elmas is estimated to cost far less (€10.9M vs €16.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Rowe (Bargain Index 50 vs 24) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Rowe Low, Elmas Moderate.