Eljif Elmas

The model rates Eljif Elmas's performance-implied value at EUR 7.4M-21.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.1M-14.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.2M-14.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.53x the positional average in the league (1783 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1783 (52% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.20

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.21

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1618

Opponent strength

1489

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€4.2M – €14.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; changed club; team strength up (+157 Elo); role change LW -> AM; relative output down 43% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -55% to -40%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1783 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.