Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Harvey Barnes remove | Kaoru Mitoma remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 29 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Newcastle United · Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1631 | 1611 |
| League minutes | 1961 (57%) | 1722 (50%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 96 | 93 |
| Market value | €32.0M | €22.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €15.8M – €34.3M | €6.6M – €17.6M |
| Model value | €27.5M – €38.8M | €17.6M – €34.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €10.8M – €19.5M | €6.3M – €15.9M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 18/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€15.8M – €34.3M Model value (performance-implied)€27.5M – €38.8M Projected value (24 months)€10.8M – €19.5M Dashed line: current market value (€32.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.6M – €17.6M Model value (performance-implied)€17.6M – €34.4M Projected value (24 months)€6.3M – €15.9M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Harvey Barnes and Kaoru Mitoma
- Mitoma is estimated to cost far less (€8.8M vs €25.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mitoma (Bargain Index 18 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Barnes Low, Mitoma Moderate.