Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Mads Hermansen remove | Alex Meret remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 29 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | West Ham United · Premier League | SSC Napoli · Serie A |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1520 | 1618 |
| League minutes | 1620 (47%) | 980 (29%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 84 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €10.0M – €21.5M | €2.9M – €7.7M |
| Model value | €6.7M – €20.6M | €6.7M – €19.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.3M – €21.2M | €2.2M – €6.5M |
| Bargain Index | 30/100 | 40/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€10.0M – €21.5M Model value (performance-implied)€6.7M – €20.6M Projected value (24 months)€7.3M – €21.2M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.7M Model value (performance-implied)€6.7M – €19.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €6.5M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Mads Hermansen and Alex Meret
- Hermansen is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Hermansen plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.93); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Hermansen was used far more by the club (47% of minutes vs 29%).
- Meret is estimated to cost far less (€3.8M vs €15.2M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Hermansen Moderate, Meret High.