Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Bakery Jatta removeLars Ritzka remove
Age2828
PositionRight midfielderLeft midfielder
Club · leagueHamburger SV · BundesligaFC St. Pauli · Bundesliga
League strength0.940.94
Team strength (Elo)13801283
League minutes918 (30%)970 (32%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.200.00
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.250.15
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile3936
Market value€1.0M€1.0M
Estimated acquisition€335k – €1.1M€296k – €1.2M
Model value€999k – €2.7M€488k – €1.8M
Projected value (24m)€488k – €1.3M€426k – €1.0M
Bargain Index80/10062/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€335k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€999k – €2.7M
Projected value (24 months)€488k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€296k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€488k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€426k – €1.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Bakery Jatta and Lars Ritzka

  • Jatta has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.25 vs 0.15 per 90).
  • On value for money the model prefers Jatta (Bargain Index 80 vs 62) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.