Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jack Harrison remove | Federico Bernardeschi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 32 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | ACF Fiorentina · Serie A | Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1509 | 1523 |
| League minutes | 1241 (36%) | 1208 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 70 |
| Market value | €6.5M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.7M – €6.7M | €1.1M – €3.0M |
| Model value | €7.8M – €16.9M | €1.2M – €7.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €4.9M | €915k – €2.5M |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 24/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €6.7M Model value (performance-implied)€7.8M – €16.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €4.9M Dashed line: current market value (€6.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €7.0M Projected value (24 months)€915k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jack Harrison and Federico Bernardeschi
- Harrison is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Bernardeschi is estimated to cost far less (€1.5M vs €4.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Bernardeschi (Bargain Index 24 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Harrison Moderate, Bernardeschi High.