Jack Harrison

The model rates Jack Harrison's performance-implied value at EUR 7.8M-16.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-6.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-4.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (1241 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1241 (36% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.29

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.38

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

86 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1509

Opponent strength

1466

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.5M – €4.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; changed club; league level down (-80 Elo); relative output up 105% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -65% (IQR -77% to -37%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1241 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.