Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Elia Caprile remove | Kamil Grabara remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 27 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Cagliari Calcio · Serie A | VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1376 | 1372 |
| League minutes | 3420 (100%) | 3060 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 70 | 77 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €11.3M – €22.0M | €6.6M – €14.3M |
| Model value | €4.0M – €14.7M | €3.6M – €12.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €8.4M – €24.2M | €5.1M – €13.5M |
| Bargain Index | 56/100 | 16/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€11.3M – €22.0M Model value (performance-implied)€4.0M – €14.7M Projected value (24 months)€8.4M – €24.2M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.6M – €14.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €12.4M Projected value (24 months)€5.1M – €13.5M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Elia Caprile and Kamil Grabara
- Caprile is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Caprile (Bargain Index 56 vs 16) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.