Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aboubakary Koita remove | Daniel Podence remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 30 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1512 | 1550 |
| League minutes | 1506 (64%) | 1148 (49%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.36 | 0.55 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 64 | 77 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.9M – €5.5M | €939k – €4.5M |
| Model value | €1.7M – €7.2M | €2.8M – €10.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.2M – €5.1M | €921k – €2.5M |
| Bargain Index | 42/100 | 16/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €5.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €7.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €5.1M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€939k – €4.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.8M – €10.1M Projected value (24 months)€921k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aboubakary Koita and Daniel Podence
- Koita is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Koita was used far more by the club (64% of minutes vs 49%).
- Podence is estimated to cost far less (€2.1M vs €3.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Koita (Bargain Index 42 vs 16) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.