Daniel Podence

The model rates Daniel Podence's performance-implied value at EUR 2.8M-10.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-4.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (1148 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1148 (49% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.55

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.26

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

77 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.42 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1550

Opponent strength

1244

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€921k – €2.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -76% to -5%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1148 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

19 (ATT)

Relative output kept

99%–112%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

47%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.