Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Fran Beltrán remove | Manu Morlanes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Girona FC · Laliga | RCD Mallorca · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1442 | 1421 |
| League minutes | 1544 (45%) | 1775 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 76 | 61 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.4M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.7M – €4.3M | €950k – €2.7M |
| Model value | €5.2M – €11.3M | €2.6M – €6.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €4.7M | €1.0M – €3.1M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 61/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.3M Model value (performance-implied)€5.2M – €11.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €4.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€950k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€2.6M – €6.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.4M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Fran Beltrán and Manu Morlanes
- Morlanes is estimated to cost far less (€1.8M vs €3.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Morlanes (Bargain Index 61 vs 49) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Beltrán Moderate, Morlanes Low.