Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Billy Gilmour removePatrick Osterhage remove
Age2526
PositionDefensive midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueSSC Napoli · Serie ASC Freiburg · Bundesliga
League strength0.930.94
Team strength (Elo)16181551
League minutes802 (24%)1187 (39%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.110.08
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.090.08
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8776
Market value€20.0M€12.0M
Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €25.8M€6.2M – €16.2M
Model value€12.4M – €30.0M€5.6M – €16.9M
Projected value (24m)€8.9M – €25.2M€4.7M – €14.5M
Bargain IndexNo index15/100
DevelopmentModerateLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceLowMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €25.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€12.4M – €30.0M
Projected value (24 months)€8.9M – €25.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €16.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €16.9M
Projected value (24 months)€4.7M – €14.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Billy Gilmour and Patrick Osterhage

  • Osterhage was used far more by the club (39% of minutes vs 24%).
  • Osterhage is estimated to cost far less (€11.2M vs €19.2M mid-estimate).