Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Mathias Pereira Lage remove | Marvin Pieringer remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 26 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1283 | 1323 |
| League minutes | 2032 (66%) | 1655 (54%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 53 | 55 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €2.8M | €1.1M – €3.2M |
| Model value | €1.2M – €5.0M | €2.3M – €5.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €849k – €2.1M | €1.3M – €3.8M |
| Bargain Index | 8/100 | 88/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €2.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €5.0M Projected value (24 months)€849k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.2M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €5.1M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.8M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Mathias Pereira Lage and Marvin Pieringer
- Pieringer is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Pieringer has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.47 vs 0.36 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Pieringer (Bargain Index 88 vs 8) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Lage Low, Pieringer Moderate.