Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jakub Kiwior remove | Gustaf Lagerbielke remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Porto · Liga Portugal | SC Braga · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1533 |
| League minutes | 2217 (73%) | 2391 (78%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 89 | 63 |
| Market value | €35.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €26.3M – €44.5M | €6.2M – €14.6M |
| Model value | €12.2M – €40.0M | €2.0M – €10.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €20.9M – €42.6M | €5.4M – €14.1M |
| Bargain Index | 18/100 | 33/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€26.3M – €44.5M Model value (performance-implied)€12.2M – €40.0M Projected value (24 months)€20.9M – €42.6M Dashed line: current market value (€35.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €14.6M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €10.8M Projected value (24 months)€5.4M – €14.1M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jakub Kiwior and Gustaf Lagerbielke
- Lagerbielke is estimated to cost far less (€10.6M vs €34.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Lagerbielke (Bargain Index 33 vs 18) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.