Jakub Kiwior

The model rates Jakub Kiwior's performance-implied value at EUR 12.2M-40.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 26.3M-44.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.9M-42.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2217 (73% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.04

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.03

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

89 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.58 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1594

Opponent strength

1322

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€20.9M – €42.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 40 pts; changed club; team strength down (-219 Elo); league level down (-238 Elo); relative output down 34% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -43% to -17%).

• ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

66 (DEF)

Relative output kept

57%–168%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

76%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.