Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jørgen Strand Larsen remove | Igor Jesus remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Wolverhampton Wanderers · Premier League | Nottingham Forest · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1489 | 1635 |
| League minutes | 2315 (68%) | 2315 (68%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 91 | 90 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €29.6M – €60.4M | €18.8M – €36.5M |
| Model value | €16.0M – €42.4M | €13.9M – €61.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.5M – €38.0M | €16.7M – €43.6M |
| Bargain Index | 4/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€29.6M – €60.4M Model value (performance-implied)€16.0M – €42.4M Projected value (24 months)€18.5M – €38.0M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €36.5M Model value (performance-implied)€13.9M – €61.3M Projected value (24 months)€16.7M – €43.6M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jørgen Strand Larsen and Igor Jesus
- Jesus has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.46 vs 0.37 per 90).
- Jesus is estimated to cost far less (€27.9M vs €44.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jesus (Bargain Index 55 vs 4) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.