Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Igor Jesus remove | Jean-Philippe Mateta remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | Crystal Palace · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1635 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 2315 (68%) | 2223 (65%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 90 | 98 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €18.8M – €36.5M | €12.4M – €32.4M |
| Model value | €13.9M – €61.3M | €30.5M – €64.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €16.7M – €43.6M | €9.7M – €20.3M |
| Bargain Index | 55/100 | 28/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €36.5M Model value (performance-implied)€13.9M – €61.3M Projected value (24 months)€16.7M – €43.6M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€12.4M – €32.4M Model value (performance-implied)€30.5M – €64.0M Projected value (24 months)€9.7M – €20.3M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Igor Jesus and Jean-Philippe Mateta
- Jesus is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mateta is estimated to cost far less (€16.5M vs €27.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jesus (Bargain Index 55 vs 28) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Jesus Low, Mateta Moderate.