Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Patrick Osterhage removeNikola Moro remove
Age2628
PositionDefensive midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueSC Freiburg · BundesligaBologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A
League strength0.940.93
Team strength (Elo)15511523
League minutes1187 (39%)1798 (53%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.080.10
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.080.10
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile7675
Market value€12.0M€7.0M
Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €16.2M€2.5M – €6.3M
Model value€5.6M – €16.9M€3.9M – €14.5M
Projected value (24m)€4.7M – €14.5M€2.5M – €6.7M
Bargain Index15/10074/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €16.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €16.9M
Projected value (24 months)€4.7M – €14.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €6.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.9M – €14.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €6.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Patrick Osterhage and Nikola Moro

  • Moro is estimated to cost far less (€3.4M vs €11.2M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Moro (Bargain Index 74 vs 15) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.