Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aleksandr Sobolev remove | Fran Navarro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga | SC Braga · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1597 | 1533 |
| League minutes | 1657 (61%) | 1275 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.65 | 0.49 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 70 | 57 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.2M – €6.3M | €1.9M – €4.4M |
| Model value | €3.6M – €11.8M | €1.5M – €6.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.9M – €5.8M | €1.3M – €3.8M |
| Bargain Index | 48/100 | 26/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €6.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €11.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.9M – €5.8M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €6.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.8M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aleksandr Sobolev and Fran Navarro
- Sobolev was used far more by the club (61% of minutes vs 42%).
- On value for money the model prefers Sobolev (Bargain Index 48 vs 26) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Sobolev High, Navarro Moderate.