Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Wesley Fofana remove | Morato remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Chelsea FC · Premier League | Nottingham Forest · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1615 | 1635 |
| League minutes | 1726 (51%) | 1341 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 92 | 88 |
| Market value | €28.0M | €14.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.0M – €40.9M | €9.2M – €21.0M |
| Model value | €19.8M – €33.0M | €11.7M – €27.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €14.4M – €30.4M | €6.4M – €21.2M |
| Bargain Index | 9/100 | 27/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.0M – €40.9M Model value (performance-implied)€19.8M – €33.0M Projected value (24 months)€14.4M – €30.4M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€9.2M – €21.0M Model value (performance-implied)€11.7M – €27.2M Projected value (24 months)€6.4M – €21.2M Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Wesley Fofana and Morato
- Morato is estimated to cost far less (€15.2M vs €29.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Morato (Bargain Index 27 vs 9) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Fofana Low, Morato Moderate.