Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gustaf Lagerbielke remove | Filipe Relvas remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | SC Braga · Liga Portugal | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1533 | 1512 |
| League minutes | 2391 (78%) | 1878 (80%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 63 | 60 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €4.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.2M – €14.6M | €2.2M – €5.9M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €10.8M | €1.4M – €7.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.4M – €14.1M | €2.1M – €6.1M |
| Bargain Index | 33/100 | 60/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €14.6M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €10.8M Projected value (24 months)€5.4M – €14.1M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €5.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €7.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €6.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gustaf Lagerbielke and Filipe Relvas
- Lagerbielke plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.42); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Relvas is estimated to cost far less (€3.6M vs €10.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Relvas (Bargain Index 60 vs 33) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.