Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lorenzo Pirola remove | Fedde Leysen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 22 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 | Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1550 | 1570 |
| League minutes | 1426 (61%) | 1594 (59%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 70 | 69 |
| Market value | €11.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.6M – €16.8M | €2.0M – €5.4M |
| Model value | €3.7M – €9.1M | €3.5M – €14.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.5M – €20.3M | €2.3M – €7.4M |
| Bargain Index | 27/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 30% |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.6M – €16.8M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €9.1M Projected value (24 months)€5.5M – €20.3M Dashed line: current market value (€11.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.4M Model value (performance-implied)€3.5M – €14.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €7.4M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lorenzo Pirola and Fedde Leysen
- Leysen plays in a stronger league (0.65 vs 0.42); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Leysen is estimated to cost far less (€3.5M vs €11.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Leysen (Bargain Index 76 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.