Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Seiji Kimura remove | Thiago Balieiro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1348 | 1361 |
| League minutes | 1215 (45%) | 1170 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 23 | 24 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €723k – €2.8M | €690k – €2.7M |
| Model value | €461k – €1.8M | €414k – €1.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €706k – €2.8M | €647k – €2.6M |
| Bargain Index | 54/100 | 42/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€723k – €2.8M Model value (performance-implied)€461k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€706k – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€690k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€414k – €1.9M Projected value (24 months)€647k – €2.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Seiji Kimura and Thiago Balieiro
- On value for money the model prefers Kimura (Bargain Index 54 vs 42) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kimura High, Balieiro Very High.