Seiji Kimura
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Seiji Kimura's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.5M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1215 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1348
- Opponent strength
- 1399
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €706k – €2.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -41% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1215 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 14 | 1215 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1399 | 1348 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 624 | 0 | 0 | 1377 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sakib Aytac Super Lig · 2016 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Luccas Claro Super Lig · 2017 | 26 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Kelvin Leerdam Eredivisie · 2016 | 26 | €1.3M | €1.3M | flat |
| Patrick William Liga Portugal · 2020 | 23 | €1.6M | €1.0M | fell |
| Marco Bürki Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 27 | €1.2M | €250k | fell |
| Robert Bauer Premier Liga · 2020 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Eric-Junior Bocat Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 24 | €700k | €2.2M | rose |
| Bruno Godeau Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 25 | €900k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2025 | FC Tokyo | KVC Westerlo | €700k | €550k |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Sagan Tosu | FC Tokyo | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Feb 2024 | FC Tokyo | Sagan Tosu | Free / loan | €175k |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Monte. Yamagata | FC Tokyo | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Feb 2022 | FC Tokyo | Monte. Yamagata | Free / loan | €150k |
| 31 Jan 2022 | SC Sagamihara | FC Tokyo | Free / loan | €150k |
| 26 Jul 2021 | FC Tokyo | SC Sagamihara | Free / loan | €100k |
| 25 Jul 2021 | Kyoto Sanga | FC Tokyo | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Feb 2020 | FC Tokyo U18 | FC Tokyo | Unknown | €100k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.